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제목 2016년 1분기 카자흐스탄 수출입 동향 
작성자 허재성    작성일 2016-06-14   
조회 323091 
첨부파일

 

2016년 1분기 카자흐스탄 수출입 동향

 

 

 

□ 2016년 1분기 전체 수출입 동향

 

 ○ 카자흐스탄의 2016년 1분기 전체 교역액은 134억7700만 달러로 전년동기 192억5400만 달러 대비 30% 감소했음.

  - 2016년 1분기 수출액(83억1100만 달러)은 전년동기(120억3600만 달러) 대비 30.9% 감소했으며, 수입액(51억6600만 달러)은 전년동기(72억1800만 달러) 대비 28.4% 감소했음.

     

            (단위: 천 달러, %)

2015년 1분기

2016년 1분기

증감률

수출

수입

수출

수입

수출

수입

12,035,733

7,217,841

8,311,442

5,165,855

△30.96

△28.42

     

2016년 월별 수출액 동향

             (단위: 백만 달러)

1월

2월

3월

전체

2,752.3

2,832.9

2,726.2

8,311.4

     

2016년 월별 수입액 동향

            (단위: 백만 달러)

1월

2월

3월

전쳬

1,571.3

1,653.3

1,941.3

5,165.9

     

□ 품목별(HS Code) 수출입 동향

     

 ○ 천연자원은 전년동기대비 수출액이 42.4% 감소했음에도 불구하고, 카자흐스탄의 전체 수출품목 중 가장 큰 비중을 차지함.

     

 ○ 원목, 종이, 종이가공제품의 수출액이 전년동기대비 1171% 증가했으며, 신발 및 잡화(326.1%), 식품 및 식품가공용 원료(79.4%) 등이 그 뒤를 이었음.

 

품목별 수출 동향

            (단위: 천 달러, %)

HS Code

품목

‘15년 1분기

비중

‘16년 1분기

비중

증감률

01-24

식품·식품가공용 원료

460,068

3.8

525,188

6.3

79.36

25-27

천연자원

9,395,291

78.1

5,416,212

65.2

△42.35

(27)

에너지·연료

8,908,682

74.0*

5,121,315

61.6*

△42.51

28-40

화학제품

551,090

4.6

585,456

7.0

6.23

41-43

가죽원료·모피·모피제품

9,011

0.1

5,952

0.1

△33.94

44-49

원목·종이·종이가공제품

4,162

0.0

52,906

0.6

1,171.1

50-63

원단·직물

21,967

0.2

36,115

0.4

64.4

64-67

신발·잡화

3,943

0.0

33,220

0.4

326.12

68-69

건축자재

2,666

0.0

3,111

0.0

16.71

72-83

금속원료 및 가공제품

1,334,975

11.1

1,375,435

16.5

3.30

84-92

차량·기계·교통수단

86,914

0.7

136,163

1.6

3.03

70-71,

93-97,99

기타

165,648

1.4

141,683

1.9

△14.46

     

합계

12,035,733

100.0

8,311,442

100.0

△30.9

주: *천연자원 품목 중 에너지·연료 제품군의 비중

     

    

     

 ○ 유가 하락에 따른 경기침체의 영향과 최근 정부에서 실시한 자국생산 촉진정책의 여파로 전 품목에서 수입량이 감소함.

     

 ○ 수출액이 가장 큰 폭으로 감소한 품목은 신발 및 잡화류로 64.3% 감소했으며, 차량·기계·교통수단(37.2%), 가죽원료·모피·모피제품(35.8%), 원단·직물(30.6%)이 그 뒤를 이음.

     

 ○ 차량·기계·교통수단 품목은 수입액이 큰 폭으로 감소했음에도 불구하고, 전체의 38.1%를 차지해 가장 많이 수입한 품목임.

     

품목별 수입 동향

            (단위: 천 달러, %)

HS Code

품목

‘15년 1분기

비중

‘16년 1분기

비중

증감률

01-24

식품·식품가공용 원료

736,425

10.2

584,900

11.3

△20.57

25-27

천연자원

601,768

8.3

439,766

8.5

△26.92

(27)

에너지·연료

456,342

6.3*

293,990

5.7*

△35.57

28-40

화학제품

1,032,650

14.3

820,280

15.9

△20.56

41-43

가죽원료·모피·모피제품

20,702

0.3

13,298

0.3

△35.76

44-49

원목·종이·종이가공제품

159,042

2.2

131,460

2.5

△17.34

50-63

원단·직물

219,673

3.0

152,526

3.0

△30.56

64-67

신발·잡화

126,932

1.8

45,311

0.9

△64.30

68-69

건축자재

89,808

1.2

71,919

1.4

△19.91

72-83

금속원료 및 가공제품

847,548

11.7

764,259

14.8

△9.82

84-92

차량·기계·교통수단

3,130,774

43.4

1,965,631

38.1

△37.21

70-71,

93-97,99

기타

252,520

3.6

176,504

3.3

△30.10

     

합계

7,217,841

100.0

5,165,855

100.0

△28.8

주: *천연자원 품목 중 에너지·연료 제품군의 비중

 

 

 

□ 유라시아경제연합(EAEU) 수출입 동향

     

 ○ 카자흐스탄의 2016년 1분기 對유라시아경제연합 수출 비중은 10.5%, 수입 비중은 34.1%를 차지했음.

  - 그 중에서도 대러시아 수출 비중은 9.7%, 수입 비중은 32.6%로 러시아에 대한 수입의존도가 큰 것을 확인할 수 있음.

    

 ○ 2016년 1분기 對유라시아경제연합(EAEU)국 수출액은 8억6900만 달러로, 전년동기 10억9000만 달러 대비 20.3% 감소했음.

  - 4개국 중 러시아를 제외한 국가들로의 수출액은 전년동기대비 최소 60%, 최대 90% 감소했음.

     

     

 ○ 2016년 1분기 對유라시아경제연합(EAEU)국 수입액은 17억6200만 달러로, 전년동기 25억9500만 달러 대비 32.1% 감소했음.

  - 전체 유라시아경제연합국의 수입액이 최소 30% 이상 감소해, 카자흐스탄의 수입 역량이 전년동기대비 떨어진 것을 확인할 수 있음.

        

 

□ 국가별 수출입 동향(유라시아경제연합(EAEU) 제외)

     

 ○ 2016년 1분기 유라시아경제연합국을 제외한 국가로의 수출액은 74억4200만 달러로, 전년동기 109억4500만 달러 대비 33% 감소했음.

  - 특히 스위스, 스페인, 일본을 제외한 상위 10개국의 수출액이 모두 감소했음.

     

 ○ 수출액이 증가한 3개국 중 일본은 67.6% 대폭 증가했으며, 스위스(32.5%), 스페인(9.5%)이 그 뒤를 이었음.

     

 ○ 한국은 1억1800만 달러로, 전년동기 1억3400만 달러 대비 수출액이 12% 감소해 카자흐스탄의 주요 수출국가 중 16위를 차지했음.      

 

     

 ○ 2016년 1분기 유라시아경제연합국을 제외한 국가로부터의 수입액은 34억300만 달러로, 전년동기 46억2200만 달러 대비 27% 감소했음.

  - 특히 독일, 일본, 프랑스를 제외한 상위 10개국의 수입액이 모두 감소했음.

     

 ○ 지리적 접근성으로 인한 빠른 운송, 저렴한 가격을 장점으로 지닌 중국으로부터의 수입액이 7억2800만 달러로 전년동기 12억9700만 달러 대비 43.8% 감소했으나, 전체 수입액 중 21.4% 차지하며 1위 자리를 지켰음.

     

 ○ 수출 부문에서 큰 폭의 증가세를 보인 일본은 수입에서도 40%에 육박하는 증가율을 보임.

     

 ○ 한국으로부터의 수입액은 1억100만 달러로 전년동기 1억9900만 달러 대비 49.3% 감소했으며, 카자흐스탄의 주요 수입국 중 전년동기(6위) 대비 3단계 떨어진 9위를 차지했음.

     

      

□ 한·중·일 수출입 동향

     

 ○ 대한국 수출액은 1억1800만 달러로, 전년동기 1억3400만 달러 대비 12% 감소했음.

     

 ○ 대중국 수출액은 한·중·일 3개국 중 가장 큰 폭으로 감소했음에도 불구하고 가장 많은 9억2200만 달러를 기록했음.

  - 중국은 카자흐스탄의 주요 수출국 중 2위를 차지했음.

     

 ○ 대일본 수출액은 2억4800만 달러로, 전년동기 1억4800만 달러 대비 67.6% 대폭 증가했음.

  - 대일본 주요 수출품목은 광물성 연료에너지(HS Code 27)로 수출액이 2015년 501억8000만 달러에서 2016년 1598억7900만 달러로 218.6% 증가해 전체 수출액 증가에 기여했음.

  

  ○ 대한국, 중국으로의 수출액 감소에도 불구하고 수출 비중은 3국 모두 증가해 전체 중 3개국의 비중은 전년동기대비 2.87%p 증가함.

     

 

 ○ 대한국 수입액은 1억100만 달러로, 전년동기 1억9900만 달러 대비 49.3% 대폭 줄어들었음.

     

 ○ 대중국 수입액 7억2800만 달러로, 전년동기 12억9700만 달러 대비 43.8% 감소했으나, 전체 수입액 중 21.4% 차지하며 1위 자리를 지켰음.

    

 ○ 일본은 수출에 이어 수입에서도 37.89%라는 높은 상승세를 보임.

  - 일본으로부터의 주요 수입품목은 철강제품(HS Code 73)으로, 2015년 565억9800만 달러에서 2016년 1352억5700만 달러로 139.0% 증가해 전체 수입액 증가에 기여했음.

     

  

□ 대한국 품목별 수출입 동향

     

 ○ 카자흐스탄의 대한국 수출액이 전년동기대비 12%가량 줄어든 것은, 광물성 연료 에너지의 수출액이 2015년 1억1500만 달러에서 2016년 9400만 달러로 18.6%가량 줄어들었기 때문임.

     

     

 ○ 카자흐스탄의 대한국 수입액이 전년동기대비 49.3%가량 줄어든 것은 한국의 대표적인 효자 수출품목인 자동차(85.5%), 전자제품(75.1%)의 수입이 줄어들었고, 그 외 플라스틱과 그 제품(65.5%)의 수입이 줄어들었기 때문임.

     

 

     

□ 시사점

     

 ○ 전체적인 교역량의 감소, 우리 기업에는 위기이자 기회

  - 유가하락으로 인한 텡게 평가절하로 전반적인 경기가 위축돼, 거래 논의 시작부터 실제 성사되기까지 장기간이 소요됨.

  - 수입 의존도를 낮추기 위한 ‘자국생산 촉진정책’의 실시로 인해 식품, 원단 및 직물 제품군부터 점차 수입량이 감소할 전망

  - 그러나, 생산에 필요한 기계요소 및 기술에 대한 수요는 높아지는 추세이기 때문에, 기술력을 앞세운 우리 중소기업에 기회가 될 수 있음.

 

 ○ 고품질, 고가의 유럽 제품과 저품질, 저가의 중국, 러시아 제품으로 양분화된 수출 시장, 틈새 공략이 필요

  - 고품질의 제품을 수출하되, 유럽 제품에 비해 합리적인 가격으로 현지 시장에서 차별화를 꾀할 수 있음.

  - 그러나, 관세동맹국인 러시아, 지리적 요건을 갖춘 중국과의 경쟁을 위해서는 물류 운송과 관세 문제에 대한 대책 마련이 필요

     

 

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